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US Markets Archives | Page 5 of 133 | Elliott Wave Analytics
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Data Says Fed Is Making A MistakeBy Syndicated Publisher on June 24, 2017 | No CommentsIn their policy announcement last week, the members of the FOMC claimed: “Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in May indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising moderately so far this year.” Economic data has...
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The Q Ratio and Market Valuation: Z.1 UpdateBy Syndicated Publisher on June 22, 2017 | No CommentsThe Q Ratio is a popular method of estimating the fair value of the stock market developed by Nobel Laureate James Tobin. It’s a fairly simple concept, but laborious to calculate. The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. Fortunately, th...
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What Is the Market Telling Us?.By Syndicated Publisher on June 21, 2017 | No CommentsThe entire global economy now depends on this stripped-of-information “market” for its stability. Ho-hum, another day, another record high in the S&P 500 (SPX). What is this market telling us? If you’re long, the market is screaming “you’re a genius!”: But ot...
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The Illusion Of Declining Debt To Income RatiosBy Syndicated Publisher on June 21, 2017 | No CommentsIn some states, when a couple enters into divorce, the court may award “alimony,” or spousal support, to one of the former spouses for the express purpose of limiting any unfair economic effects by providing a continuing income to the spouse. The purpose is to help that spouse continue the “s...
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Technically Speaking: The Evaporation Of RiskBy Syndicated Publisher on June 21, 2017 | No CommentsOn Monday, the markets broke out, again, to all-time highs. This is not surprising and something that I noted over the weekend. To wit: “Stepping back from the sector-specific action, if you only looked at the S&P 500 to judge what was happening in the markets, you wouldn’t suspect anythin...
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Is Amazon/Whole Foods This Cycle’s AOL/Time Warner ...By Syndicated Publisher on June 20, 2017 | No CommentsTowards the end of the 1990’s tech stock bubble, “new media” – i.e., the Internet — was ascendant and old media like magazines, newspapers and broadcast TV were yesterday’s news. This was reflected in relative stock valuations, which gave Internet pioneer AOL the ability to buy vene...
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We Are Getting Very Close To An Inverted Yield Curve ...By Syndicated Publisher on June 20, 2017 | No CommentsIf something happens seven times in a row, do you think that there is a pretty good chance that it will happen the eighth time too? Immediately prior to the last seven recessions, we have seen an inverted yield curve, and it looks like it is about to happen again for the very first time since the...
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Weekend Reading: Charged With ObstructionBy Syndicated Publisher on June 20, 2017 | No CommentsNo! I am not talking about President Trump but rather the crash in both Technology stocks, and Oil prices, which are obstructing the continuation of the “bull market.” As I discussed this past Tuesday, the mini “flash crash” in Technology certainly woke investors up. “While there is cer...
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Here Comes Quantitative TighteningBy Syndicated Publisher on June 19, 2017 | No CommentsAll of a sudden the Fed got a little tougher. Perhaps the success of the hit movie Wonder Woman has inspired Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen to discard her prior timidity to show us how much monetary muscle she can flex when the time comes for action. Although the Fed’s decision this week to ...
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2017 Is Going To Be The Worst Retail Apocalypse In US...By Syndicated Publisher on June 19, 2017 | No CommentsNot even during the worst parts of the last recession did things ever get this bad for the U.S. retail industry. As you will see in this article, more than 300 retailers have already filed for bankruptcy in 2017, and it is being projected that a staggering 8,640 stores will close in America by th...
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Animal Spirits: A Late-Stage Event…By Syndicated Publisher on June 19, 2017 | No CommentsLately, there has been a lot of chatter about the “Return Of Animal Spirits” as the catalyst to drive markets higher…and higher…and higher. But exactly what does that mean? Animal spirits came from the Latin term “spiritus animalis” which means the breath that awakens the human mind. Its...
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Can We See a Bubble If We’re Inside the Bubble?By Syndicated Publisher on June 19, 2017 | No CommentsWe want this time to be different so badly, we can almost taste it. If you visit San Francisco, you will find it difficult to walk more than a few blocks in central S.F. without encountering a major construction project. It seems that every decrepit low-rise building in the city has been razed and i...
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Starbucks (SBUX): Still Hot or… On Ice?By Syndicated Publisher on June 17, 2017 | No CommentsBack in February, our friends shared a lesson with subscribers that included a “very bullish chart pattern” in Starbucks (SBUX) — ahead of the 3-month 10% rally. Now, they’ve just posted a new video explaining the SBUX opportunity and preparing you for what’s next. Wa...
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The Pin To Pop This Mother Of All Bubbles?By Syndicated Publisher on June 17, 2017 | No CommentsGlobal macro economic data has been weak for many years, but there’s now a very real chance of a world-wide recession happening in 2017. Why? A dramatic and worsening shortfall in new credit creation. The world’s major central banks have, again, done the world an enormous disservice. Instead o...
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How One Forecasting Tool Defied the Bull Market Naysa...By Syndicated Publisher on June 17, 2017 | No CommentsThe Elliott wave model often indicates a stock market outlook that’s at odds with the sentiment of the crowd. But, that’s okay. The crowd is usually wrong at major market turns. For example, two years ago on May 9, 2015, the bull market was six years old and the third longest in history...
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Technically Speaking: A Shot Across The Bow For Passi...By Syndicated Publisher on June 16, 2017 | No CommentsI wanted to pick up on a discussion I started in this past weekend’s missive, with respect to both Friday’s rout in technology stocks as well as Monday’s rather nasty open. While the issue seemed to be a simple short-term rotation in the markets from large capitalization Technology and Discre...