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US Markets Archives | Page 2 of 132 | Elliott Wave Analytics

  • The Dow Falls 274 Points As ‘Eclipse Fever’ Hits ...
    By on August 18, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Have we now entered a time of major financial shaking?  On Thursday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 274 points.  The was the largest decline for the Dow since May, and high yield bonds were down dramatically as well.  Many are blaming the terror attack in Barcelona and “instability ...
  • Dumb and Dumber: The Money Keeps Pouring In
    By on August 11, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Someday, stock, bond and real estate valuations will matter again. And the mechanism by which this return to sanity is achieved will probably be the torrent of money now flowing in from people who, for various reasons, don’t care about (or understand) the prices they’re paying. Millennials, for ...
  • Regression to Trend: Another Look at Long-Term Market...
    By on August 11, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Quick take: At the end of July the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 index price was 103% above its long-term trend, up from 101% the previous month. About the only certainty in the stock market is that, over the long haul, over performance turns into under performance and vice versa. Is there a patt...
  • Technically Speaking: Bullish But Bearish
    By on August 10, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Over the last week, I was on vacation with my family taking a much-needed respite from the weekly workload. The good news is that usually when I go out of town, the market crashes. Such was not the case, and in fact, the Dow Industrials hit all-time highs. I pay little attention to the Dow due to t...
  • Plan For The Worst
    By on August 10, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Currently, things could not be better. Stocks are hitting all time highs. Confidence is at record levels, and investors are “all in.” But maybe it is just for those reasons that we should take a pause. Records are records for a reason. Every strongly trending bull market throughout history has...
  • A Look at NYSE Margin Debt and the Market
    By on August 10, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The New York Stock Exchange publishes end-of-month data for margin debt on the NYX data website, where we can also find historical data back to 1959. Let’s examine the numbers and study the relationship between margin debt and the market, using the S&P 500 as the surrogate for the latter...
  • Technically Speaking: Visualizing 10-Reasons For Caut...
    By on August 9, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    I know…I know… There seems to be absolutely nothing that can derail the current bull market. Geopolitical conflict – NOPE Political intrigue – NOPE Fed Reserve reducing liquidity to the markets – NOPE Lack of expected tax cuts, reform, and infrastructure spending – NOPE, NOPE, and NOPE....
  • Is This The Bubble?
    By on August 7, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    As a portfolio manager, I start each morning by consuming copious amounts of a heavily caffeinated beverage and a data feed from a litany of web and blog sites. Over the last few days, as asset prices have set new records, there have been numerous articles on whether the market is currently in a bu...
  • Technically Speaking: I Bought It For The Dividend!!
    By on August 4, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Okay, I have to discuss something this week that has been bugging me. I have had several emails as of late suggesting one of the biggest investing fallacies stated during late stage bull market advances. “I don’t care about the price, I bought it for the yield.” First of all, let’s clear up ...
  • The Perfect Crash Indicator Is Flashing Red!
    By on August 2, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    What’s the last big toy you buy when things have been good for a really long time and you already have all the other toys? An RV, of course. A dubious thing to own if you already have a house, but when the good times seem likely to roll on forever, why the hell not? And what’s the first thing yo...
  • Three Black Swans
    By on August 2, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    “The world in which we live has an increasing number of feedback loops, causing events to be the cause of more events (say, people buy a book because other people bought it), thus generating snowballs and arbitrary and unpredictable planet-wide winner-take-all effects.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb...
  • A Mystery Investor Has Made A 262 Million Dollar Bet ...
    By on July 27, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    One mystery trader has made an extremely large bet that the stock market is going to crash by October, and if he is right he could potentially make up to 262 million dollars on the deal.  Fortunes were made and lost during the great financial crisis of 2008, and the same thing will happen again th...
  • Fundamentally Speaking: Earnings At Risk
    By on July 27, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    As we get into the midst of the Q2 earnings season, we can take a closer look at the results through the 1st quarter of the year. Despite the exuberance from the media over the “number of companies that beat estimates” during the most recent reported period, 12-month operating earnings per s...
  • Preparing for the End Game
    By on July 27, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    A Potential Road Map for the End of the Current Bull Market & Economic Expansion History books refer to the last economic slowdown we experienced, triggered by the 2007-2008 financial crisis, as the Great Recession. Its impacts were so severe—the worst global recession since the Great Depress...
  • Apple: When Prices Are Falling, TWO Numbers Matter Mo...
    By on July 20, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    On June 29, the Apple iPhone turned 10 years old. But, for many, the mood surrounding the milestone was less than celebratory. Reason being, in June alone, Apple Inc. (AAPL) plunged 6% to two-month lows amidst a broad-scale bruising of the global tech sector. And so, the cursor on some Smartphone s...
  • Yellen, Employment & Policy Errors
    By on July 19, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    In Janet Yellen’s semi-annual testimony on Capitol Hill yesterday, she made reference to the ongoing strength of employment as one of the reasons for continuing to “normalize” monetary policy by lifting interest rates and reducing the existing bond holdings of the Federal Reserve. To wit: ...

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