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  • What To Do When Every Market Is Manipulated?
    By on August 16, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    What do the following have in common? LIBOR, Bernie Madoff, MF Global, Peregrine Financial, zero-percent interest rates, the Social Security and Medicare entitlement funds, many state and municipal pension funds, mark-to-model asset values, quote stuffing and high frequency trading (HFT), and debt-b...
  • New Buy Signals for Gold and Oil!
    By on August 9, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    For the SPX the day began in a boring fashion and got more boring as the day wore on. There were, nevertheless, four new BUY signals generated. Gold and crude (USO) both generated new BUY signals (from neutral). We will discuss these later in the report. Two new BUY signals were generated on the...
  • Forget Libor, Oil Manipulation Far Worse!
    By on July 22, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    Since the global community all of a sudden seems to be pre-occupied with market manipulation, even though the authorities knew it was a problem for over 5 years with Libor Rate Fixing. It is high time authorities look at the Crude Oil market which has been manipulated for the last decade and all ...
  • Plunging Commodities Ominous For Stock Markets!
    By on May 12, 2012 | 3 Comments3 Comments  Comments
    Consumers understandably like to see prices for commodities decline, the more the merrier, particularly gasoline and energy costs. Many analysts also take commodity price declines as a positive for the economy, on the theory that consumers will have more spending money in their pockets, and manufact...
  • Oil and Natural Gas Ratio Explodes to 52:1!
    By on April 23, 2012 | 4 Comments4 Comments  Comments
    The ink on our last article is barely dry when its dire prediction actually came true 48 hours later–natural gas price dropping below $2, a level not seen in over a decade.  Henry Hub natural gas front month futures declined to $1.982 per 1,000 cubic feet (mcf) on Wed. April 11, its lowest ...
  • Another Oil Price Shock, Another Global Recession?
    By on April 17, 2012 | 258 Comments258 Comments  Comments
    Brent crude ended trading above $120 a barrel on Friday, April 13, while WTI crude on NYMEX for May delivery settled at $102.83 a barrel.  Oil has traded above $100 for all but a couple of days in the past year (see chart below).  This persistent high oil price has many concerned to start threate...
  • Oil Stocks: Room To Run Higher!
    By on March 12, 2012 | 2 Comments2 Comments  Comments
    With Iran waxing belligerent again, oil has been making headlines lately.  Stock speculators and investors are anxiously watching its price, gaming how oil stocks are likely to react to various oil-price scenarios.  And since the oil complex has already enjoyed a strong upleg, plenty of topping fe...
  • Video Interview: High Oil Prices Will Hurt Consumers
    By on March 12, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    As oil prices continue to surge, economists are locked in a full-on debate about how much they will affect the economy. Bulls argue that “this time is different,” saying that today’s consumers have handled oil above $100 a barrel so far, so they’ll be able continue to handle...
  • Oil Prices WILL and DO Slow The Economy!
    By on March 5, 2012 | 41 Comments41 Comments  Comments
    Over the last few days they have been quite a few articles and comments made about the recent rise in oil and gasoline prices.  There is a growing consensus among the mainstream analyst community that “this time is different” because the rise in oil prices, and the subsequent rise in ...
  • Economic Risk: The Gasoline Wild Card
    By on February 24, 2012 | 287 Comments287 Comments  Comments
    Of the many risks facing the US economy, the one I find most immediately concerning is the rapidly increasing rise in gas prices. My latest weekly gasoline update showed a 36-cent rise in gas prices, regular and premium, over the past nine weeks. In fact, it was about nine weeks ago that I filled th...
  • United States Oil Fund (USO) Headed For Trouble?
    By on December 12, 2011 | 61 Comments61 Comments  Comments
    The price of the U.S. Oil Fund ETF (USO) appears to be headed for difficulty in the short-term. An Adam & Eve double top has formed in the last month that could lead to at least a modest correction. (From the December 9, 2011 blog for Decision Point subscribers.) Click here for FREE TRIAL! Th...
  • Oil or Gas?
    By on December 5, 2011 | No Comments  Comments
    Hydrocarbons have become the lifeblood of this modern era.  And with a huge economic incentive for finding and extracting them, drillers have scoured the world in search of this finite resource.  When they do find it, there is nothing more thrilling than bringing this raw form of energy to the sur...
  • Are Oil Prices Confirming ECRI Recession Call?
    By on November 9, 2011 | 301 Comments301 Comments  Comments
    So goes oil…so goes the economy. Today we posted an update as to why oil price spikes hurt even more when disposable incomes are already under pressure as it acts as an additional tax on the consumer.   Of course, this additional tax on a consumer that is already receiving more than 23% of...
  • Update: The Oil Price Spike
    By on November 9, 2011 | 40 Comments40 Comments  Comments
    On July 8th, 2011 we wrote a post entitled why Oil Price Spikes Feel Worse wherein we stated that “Today, more now than ever, we are barraged with economic data of which most is lost on the average person. One data point, however, that everyone understands is the price of oil as it directly...
  • Unconventional Oil.
    By on November 1, 2011 | No Comments  Comments
    Each year a small portion of the world’s finite oil supply is drained.  And over time this annual draw has grown larger in a world that seems to be getting smaller.  As global commerce gains fluidity, the demand for this hydrocarbon appears to be insatiable.   Transportation is of course by...
  • Our Culture of Debt and Speculation.
    By on September 16, 2011 | 61 Comments61 Comments  Comments
    Was the end of abundant cheap domestic oil and the end of the gold-backed dollar not coincidental, but causally related? Oil and finance are inextricably linked, for as long as the US (Fed) prints dollars, and exporters accept them in trade for physical oil, then the US is able to effectively act as...

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