See how three Elliott wave patterns develop — in Cliffs Natural Resources Inc (CLF), iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM) and Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) — in this classic 5-minute video excerpt from Jeffrey Kennedy’s Trader’s Classroom service. If you are...

Can stocks keep hitting new highs even as sales and profits fall? Given that we live in a world where a modest 3% decline in the stock market triggers panicky demands for more quantitative easing (QE 4), few observers expect much a correction, regardless of the souring fundamentals such as sales and...

With its FOMC statement, the Fed provided the market with what it wanted to hear. They removed the ‘patience’ phrase as expected, but replaced it with a similar assurance that there is no set timetable for rate hikes, that it will continue to be in no hurry. “The Committee anticipates that it ...

The housing industry seems to have slipped under the radar of investor concerns in the fog created by the Fed’s ‘patient’ intentions, the EU’s intentions regarding Greece, the disappearance of inflation, the soaring strength of the dollar, plunging oil, and so on. Yet, as I have noted often...

The strong dollar increases the cost of U.S. exports, cutting into export sales, and the currency translation cuts into the profits of U.S. corporations with international operations. Currency-risk management consulting firm FiReapps reports that the surging dollar cost North American corporations ...

Several months ago I wrote of how super bull markets that last nine or ten years have been once in a generation situations, the last ones being those of the 1920’s and the 1990’s, but that there were enough similarities to 1997 in the current bull market that it could possibly make it into that ...

The market has a very long history of making most of its gains in the favorable winter season between October and May, while if there is to be a substantial correction it most often takes place in the unfavorable season of May to October. The pattern is so consistent that academic studies (and actu...

Remain bullish because the bull market remains in place, with most indexes making new highs as recently as last week. Support levels continue to hold on short-term pullbacks, technical indicators remain on buy signals, and the market’s favorable season usuallylasts into April/May. However, be watc...

Investors are complacent, even confident, regarding the prospects for 2015. That is in spite of the market being at valuation levels higher than all but one previous market peak of the last 100 years, while the economy appears to be slowing, corporate earnings growth is slowing, and the bull market ...

Here is what we can quite confidently depend on. The stock market makes most of its gains each year in a favorable period of November to May, and if there is a serious correction it usually takes place between May and October. Even in this unusually long and strong bull market, sustained by Fed sti...

There are reasons in the technical charts, in the fundamentals, and in investor sentiment, to believe gold is ready for at least a tradable bear market rally. In a January column, I noted that gold plunged 48% from its record high above $1,900 an ounce in 2011, to its low late last year, and was one...

The fears after 2001 were that the Fed’s easy money policies to pull the economy out of the 2001 recession, followed by even more easing, including the near-zero Fed Funds rate instituted after the 2008 financial meltdown, would result in runaway inflation. Spiraling inflation was so sure to show ...

US Treasury Bonds defied the experts last year, and continue to so far this year. A year ago it was supposedly a sure thing that bonds would plunge sharply when the Fed began cutting back its massive QE bond-buying program. But our technical indicators (not shown) said otherwise, that bonds had alr...

At the age of 72 months, the U.S. bull market may be long in the tooth. Stocks may be significantly over-priced based on the CAPE-10 P/E ratio, and Warren Buffett’s favorite measurement, the ratio of market capitalization to GDP. Plunging oil prices, threatening deflation, and weak global economie...

Last week was the third straight down week. Five straight down days before yesterday’s rally. Ugly. The late strong rally was encouraging. But all the major indexes remain beneath their 50-day moving averages, and it takes more than one day to indicate an upside reversal. And although the intrada...

Gold plunged 48% from its record high above $1,900 an ounce in 2011, to its low late last year. That was a sizable bear market move. Shorter-term, it was one of last year’s worst performers, down 15% for the year. In a recent column, I noted how at year-end, investors looking for the next year’s...