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» Technical Analysis

  • Were Inflation Concerns Overblown?
    By on August 22, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Concerns were spiking a couple of months ago that the Fed’s easy money policies, and the recovering economy, finally had inflation showing up. The PPI, CPI, and PCE inflation indexes jumped above the Fed’s comfort level of 2%, while the employment cost index also unexpectedly jumped in the 2nd q...
  • Top Gold Miners Signalling Gold Breakout
    By on August 18, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Latest Vlog Update: August 15, 2014 Here is the latest vlog, it is an analysis of the world’s 3 top gold producers and the implications of their price action and charts for spot gold. Please enjoy the video!. .. .. Paul Thomason Editor, Elliott Wave Analytics Images: via Flickr (licence attr...
  • Bonds Persist In Their Warning About US Economy
    By on August 16, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Bonds do not like economic strength, but love economic weakness. It makes sense. In a strong economy there is upward pressure on interest rates, and therefore on bond yields. When bond yields go up, their prices go down. In a weakening economy, there is downward pressure on interest rates as the Fed...
  • Gold Wants To Be A Safe Haven!
    By on August 14, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Gold has been confined in a symmetrical triangle pattern for quite some time. The direction of the breakout from those patterns usually indicates the next sustained direction. After reaching the upper limit of the formation it declined and broke back beneath its short-term 30-day m.a. and looked to...
  • European Markets Look Downright Scary
    By on August 12, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Here’s the situation. The economy of the 18-nation European Union is about the same size as that of the U.S., with roughly equal impacts on each other and on global growth. Germany, France, and the U.K. are the largest economies in the EU, and the fourth, fifth, and sixth largest economies in the...
  • Should European Markets Plunge Worry US Investors?
    By on August 8, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    There were a lot of examples of instant analysis recently, pointing out that Europe’s markets were down on increased concerns about the Russia/Ukraine situation. But has the problem not more likely been related to economic reports and the actions that may or may not be taken by European central b...
  • China Rally Defies Market Plunges Elsewhere
    By on August 6, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    The breakout of China’s market from its five-year bear market is looking more real all the time. It was particularly impressive how it moved so independently of the U.S. and European markets recently, rallying further as they sold off so sharply. Even on days when Asia markets were down, China’...
  • China’s Market Finally Looks Like A Buy!
    By on July 30, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Is China’s economy, the second largest in the world, a disaster coming down to a hard landing, which has been the popular forecast for four or five years now? Or is it merely slowing from unsustainable double-digit growth of more than 12% a few years ago, to a more reasonable and sustainable pace?...
  • Will Investors Get Out On Time This Time?.
    By on July 23, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    It is normal and understandable that investor confidence grows as paper profits in a long rally or bull market pile up. It’s therefore normal and inevitable that investor sentiment will be at its most bullish for that cycle by the time a rally or bull market tops out. However, it is also true that...
  • Market Bounce-Back Last Week Was Not Impressive
    By on July 21, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Markets most everywhere closed up this week. At first glance it looks great. But a look at the technical charts shows it was not impressive, particularly in the U.S. and Europe. For instance, the NYSE Composite and Nasdaq closed down 1.5% the previous week and bounced back only 0.4% this week. The...
  • Chart Comparisons With Previous Market Tops
    By on July 18, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    There are three observations being made about the current resilience of the stock market. 1. The market has gone 33 months, since 2011, without at least a 10% correction. 2. It has gone 1,014 days without a 20% correction. That’s the longest stretch since it went 1,127 days, from July, 1984 to Aug...
  • Bond Rally Not A Good Omen For Stock Market!
    By on July 16, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    The Fed says the economy remains healthy enough that it will continue to taper back its QE stimulus at a rate of $10 billion a month, with plans to have it at zero by October. Speculation now is on when it will begin the next step toward returning its monetary policy to normal, by beginning to raise...

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