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US Economy Archives | Page 5 of 107 | Elliott Wave Analytics

  • Here’s Why All Pension Funds Are Doomed, Doomed...
    By on May 27, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    There are limits on what the Fed can do when this bubble bursts, as it inevitably will, as surely as night follows day. It’s no secret that virtually every pension fund is dead man walking, doomed by central banks’ imposition of low yields on safe investments, i.e. Zero Interest Rate Pol...
  • Credit Cards: ‘2008 Re-Animated’
    By on May 27, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    From last week, the WSJ reports that the number and popularity of credit cards has experienced something of a resurgence after the near-death experience Americans had with debt (that is, excluding student loans) during and after the Great Recession. I dont’ know about you, but we regularly get of...
  • Unintended Consequences – Part 1: Easy Money = ...
    By on May 20, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    Somewhere back in the depths of time the world got the idea that easy money — that is, low interest rates and high levels of government spending — would produce sustainable growth with modest but positive inflation. And for a while it seemed to work. But that was an illusion. What actually happe...
  • Major Disconnect: One Chart Says It All
    By on May 6, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    People sense the ‘recovery” is bogus, and their rational response is to save more money rather than squander it. Sometimes one chart captures the fundamental reality of the economy: for example, this chart of money velocity and the civilian-population ratio. (thank you, Joseph Y. for pos...
  • With Tech Tanking, Can Anything Save The System?
    By on May 6, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    First it was the banks reporting horrendous numbers — largely, we were told, because of their exposure to recently-cratered energy companies. Now it’s Big Tech, which is a much harder thing to explain. The FAANGs (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google) own their niches and not so long ago ...
  • April 20-27 (Free Event): 50+ Global Markets. 100R...
    By on April 20, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    Starting at 9 a.m. ET Wednesday, April 20, our friends at Elliott Wave International are “opening the doors” to their entire line of trader-focused Pro Services — free for 7 days — during: Pro Services Open House. EWI Pro Services bring you opportunity-rich, professional-grad...
  • The Panama Papers: Consequences of Centralized Money ...
    By on April 6, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    Technologies such as the blockchain are enabling alternative ways of creating and distributing money outside central banks and states. If we don’t change the way money is created and distributed, we will never change anything. This is the core message of my book A Radically Beneficial World: A...
  • Brace Yourself: Latest Look At Student Debt
    By on March 23, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    College Tuition and Fees constitute one of the biggest threats to our economic outlook. Here is a chart of data from the relevant Consumer Price Index sub-component reaching back to 1978, the earliest year Uncle Sam provides a breakout for College Tuition and Fees. As an interesting sidebar, we̵...
  • The Great Unicorn Die-Off: Tech (Sort-Of) Crashes, Mu...
    By on March 10, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    In good times, Silicon Valley is the kind of place we all fantasize about: Shiny new buildings full of genius techies rollerblading down the halls, eating free gourmet food and growing richer with each financing round. But in bad times it resembles that Florida housing subdivision in The Big Short, ...
  • Epic Battle: Hedge Funds vs China
    By on February 3, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    George Soros’ successful bet against the British pound back in 1992 remains one of financial history’s epic tales. The short version of the story begins with Britain linking its currency, the pound, to the German deutschmark via the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). But Britain’s inflati...
  • Major Stock Bear Awakening
    By on January 18, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    The US stock markets have suffered their worst early-year losses in history in young 2016, an ominous proof that a major trend change is underway.  The Fed’s new tightening cycle is already slaying recent years’ extraordinary easy-Fed-fueled stock-market levitation.  Unfortunately the only pos...
  • Technically Speaking: 5 Signs Of A Naughty Market!
    By on December 14, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    It is hard to believe that Christmas is just TWO Friday’s away as the year seems to have slipped by in blur. This brings two primary issues into focus. The first is that I have not done any shopping as of yet. The second is that despite the hopes of a stronger economy and earnings environment at t...
  • Fed’s US Debt Bomb
    By on October 31, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    With the Federal Reserve’s first rate-hike cycle in nearly a decade looming, traders are working overtime trying to divine its timing and impact on the markets.  They are closely monitoring the same employment and inflation data the Fed will use to start tightening.  But there’s another little...
  • 3 Things: 1998, NIM, and Dumb Money
    By on October 30, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    I recently quoted the importance of the current profits “recession” as it relates to potential market outcomes for investors. “To me, the pre-conditions for this profits recession speak to downside risk, both for risk assets and for the real economy. None of the data speaks to rec...
  • 3 Things: Why The Fed Is Screwed…
    By on October 16, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    In May of 2014, the Federal Reserve began discussing a newly designed labor market index to help support their claim that employment conditions in the U.S were improving. This was an important facility for the Fed which needed support to raise interest rates. My good friend Doug Short has a complete...
  • 4 Important Warnings: Why You Should Pay Attention
    By on October 13, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    When I was growing up my father, probably much like yours, had pearls of wisdom that he would drop along the way. It wasn’t until much later in life that I learned that such knowledge did not come from books, but through experience. One of my favorite pieces of “wisdom” was: ̶...

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