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US Economy Archives | Page 4 of 108 | Elliott Wave Analytics

  • The Coming Great Wealth Transfer
    By on March 7, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    In the past, I’ve warned about the coming Great Wealth Transfer.  But now we need to talk about it in the present tense, because it’s here. And it will only accelerate from here on out. The Rich will get richer at the expense of everybody else. This isn’t personal. It’s simply ...
  • How We Got Here In One Sentence…
    By on March 7, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    In every annual budget debate since the 1980s, one side figures out that the way to get what it wants – which is higher spending – is to frame the request in a particular, ingenious way: We have to borrow and spend way more now if we want to borrow and spend way less later. History has of course...
  • March 2017 | The End Of A 100 Year Global Debt Super ...
    By on March 2, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    For more than 100 years global debt levels have been rising, and now we are potentially facing the greatest debt crisis in all of human history.  Never before have we seen such a level of debt saturation all over the planet, and pretty much everyone understands that this is going to end very, very ...
  • It’s Bubble Time!
    By on February 27, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    It’s impossible to predict with certainty how much more insane our financial markets will get before an inevitable correction. But my personal bet is: A lot! For my reasons why, take a few minutes to watch the chapter on bubbles below from The Crash Course. For those who haven’t seen it ...
  • The Mother Of All Financial Bubbles
    By on February 25, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    At PeakProsperity.com, we pride ourselves on providing fact-based context to breaking important events. Within 72 hours of the Japan tsunami in 2011, we had analyzed the situation and concluded with high probability that three core meltdowns had occurred at the Fukushima nuclear plant. While it took...
  • 6 Reasons To “Buy” This Bull Market…Or Not
    By on February 24, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Last week Frank Chaparro penned an interesting note: “It looks like this bull market just won’t quit. Friday marked the 2,003rd trading day since the stock market rally began back in 2009, making it even longer than the bull market that preceded the 1929 crash. And since President Donald Trump...
  • This Is Why You Don’t Own A Lot Of Stocks
    By on February 23, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    You’d think that by now every relevant measure of stock market overvaluation would have been converted into a chart and circulated throughout the blogosphere. But Zero Hedge has come up with a new one depicting how long the typical wage slave has to work to buy the typical stock. And – surprise ...
  • Is This What They Mean By “Crack-Up Boom”?
    By on February 17, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    In 1980, the US government – along with pretty much all of its peers – began borrowing at an accelerating rate. Note on the following chart how the trend line steepened in the 2000s and then steepened again in this decade, with a sudden and unexpected pop in 2015 and early 2016, even as the curr...
  • Harry Dent: Stocks Will Fall 70-90% Within 3 Years
    By on January 31, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Economist and cycle trend forecaster Harry Dent sees crushing deflation ahead for nearly every financial asset class. We are at the nexus of a concurrent series of downtrends in the four most important predictive trends he tracks. Laying out the thesis of his new book The Sale Of A Lifetime, Dent s...
  • Major Stock Bear Still Looms
    By on January 10, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The US stock markets spectacularly defied the odds in 2016, soaring after both the UK’s Brexit vote and US presidential election.  Both actual outcomes were universally feared as very bearish for stocks before the events.  These contrary stock rallies have left traders feeling euphoric, convince...
  • Three Mini-Bubbles Are Bursting
    By on January 5, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The world has gotten so used to ultra-low interest rates that even economists and money managers seem to be shocked by what happens when rates start creeping back towards normal levels. Some of the mini-bubbles that formed in an essentially free-money environment are now starting to leak. Notably: U...
  • 2007 All Over Again – Part VI: Stock Valuations...
    By on January 4, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The Trump Christmas stock market rally has taken valuations beyond a point that in the past has signaled trouble, which in turn has generated a lot of cautionary press like the following: Market indicator hits extreme levels last seen before plunges in 1929, 2000 and 2008 (CNBC) – While the S&...
  • A New Look at NYSE Margin Debt and the Market
    By on January 2, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Note: The NYSE has released new data for margin debt, now available through November. The New York Stock Exchange publishes end-of-month data for margin debt on the NYX data website, where we can also find historical data back to 1959. Let’s examine the numbers and study the relationship be...
  • Fiscal Spending: Crystal Balls and Magic Wands
    By on December 4, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    What does a Trump Presidency mean for the economy and the markets, and does it alter our defensive posture? The short answer is no, and here’s why. Trump has made it clear that he wants to lower taxes, roll back suffocating regulations on businesses, and increase fiscal spending on infrastruc...
  • Economic Breadth Is Significantly Deteriorating in th...
    By on November 3, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    Philly Fed state coincident data came out today and more states across the country are starting to contract (shown in red). Looking at the snapshot below, positively growing states still dominate the map (and don’t give much of an alarming picture), but a different story emerges when we look a...
  • Home Ownership Rate Lowest Level In 50 Years
    By on November 2, 2016 | No Comments  Comments
    Over the last decade the general trend has been consistent: The rate of home ownership continues to decline. The Census Bureau has now released its latest quarterly report with data through Q3 2016. The seasonally adjusted rate for Q3 is 63.4 percent, up from 63.1 in Q2. The nonseasonally adjusted Q...

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