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US Economy Archives | Elliott Wave Analytics

  • Rick Wiles Issues An Extremely Ominous Warning: The A...
    By on August 24, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    What you are about to read is going to absolutely shock you.  Rick Wiles has done outstanding work over at TruNews for well over a decade, and now just days before the August 21st solar eclipse he has issued his most ominous warning ever.  His warning is not directly related to the eclipse, b...
  • Signs Of Distress
    By on August 19, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The world is edging closer to the final moments after which everything will be forever changed. Grand delusions, perpetuated over decades, will finally hit the limits of reality and collapse in on themselves. We’re over-budget and have eaten deeply into the principal balances of all of our main t...
  • Really Bad Ideas – Part III: Government Debt Is...
    By on August 16, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The failure of fiat currency and fractional reserve banking to produce a government-managed utopia is generating very few mea culpas, but lots of rationalizations. Strangest of all these rationalizations might be the notion that government debt is not really a liability, but an asset. Where personal...
  • Plan For The Worst
    By on August 10, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Currently, things could not be better. Stocks are hitting all time highs. Confidence is at record levels, and investors are “all in.” But maybe it is just for those reasons that we should take a pause. Records are records for a reason. Every strongly trending bull market throughout history has...
  • Technically Speaking: Visualizing 10-Reasons For Caut...
    By on August 9, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    I know…I know… There seems to be absolutely nothing that can derail the current bull market. Geopolitical conflict – NOPE Political intrigue – NOPE Fed Reserve reducing liquidity to the markets – NOPE Lack of expected tax cuts, reform, and infrastructure spending – NOPE, NOPE, and NOPE....
  • The Two Charts That Dictate the Future of the Economy
    By on August 2, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    If you study these charts closely, you can only conclude that the US economy is doomed to secular stagnation and never-ending recession. The stock market, bond yields and statistical measures of the economy can be gamed, manipulated and massaged by authorities, but the real economy cannot. This is e...
  • Three Black Swans
    By on August 2, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    “The world in which we live has an increasing number of feedback loops, causing events to be the cause of more events (say, people buy a book because other people bought it), thus generating snowballs and arbitrary and unpredictable planet-wide winner-take-all effects.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb...
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Index: All Signs Point to a Cycli...
    By on July 27, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Today’s release of the publicly available data from ECRI puts its Weekly Leading Index (WLI) at 144.8, up from the previous week. Year-over-year the four-week moving average of the indicator is now at 4.99%, down from 5.12% last week. The WLI Growth indicator is now at 2.6, up from the previo...
  • Fundamentally Speaking: Earnings At Risk
    By on July 27, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    As we get into the midst of the Q2 earnings season, we can take a closer look at the results through the 1st quarter of the year. Despite the exuberance from the media over the “number of companies that beat estimates” during the most recent reported period, 12-month operating earnings per s...
  • Preparing for the End Game
    By on July 27, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    A Potential Road Map for the End of the Current Bull Market & Economic Expansion History books refer to the last economic slowdown we experienced, triggered by the 2007-2008 financial crisis, as the Great Recession. Its impacts were so severe—the worst global recession since the Great Depress...
  • Yellen, Employment & Policy Errors
    By on July 19, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    In Janet Yellen’s semi-annual testimony on Capitol Hill yesterday, she made reference to the ongoing strength of employment as one of the reasons for continuing to “normalize” monetary policy by lifting interest rates and reducing the existing bond holdings of the Federal Reserve. To wit: ...
  • Is This The Generation That Is Going To Financially D...
    By on July 19, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Did you know that the federal government is going to spend more than 4 trillion dollars this year?  To put that into perspective, U.S. GDP for the entire year of 2017 is going to be somewhere between 18 and 19 trillion dollars.  So when you are talking about 4 trillion dollars you are talking abou...
  • Our Financial Buffers Are Thinning
    By on July 19, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The fragility of our financial buffers will only be revealed when they fail in the next crisis. While buffer has a specific meaning in chemistry, I am using the word in the broad sense of a reserve resource that absorbs the initial destructive impacts of crises or system overloads. Marshland alon...
  • Treasury Yields: A Long-Term Perspective
    By on July 18, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Let’s have a look at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields as of Friday’s close. The chart below shows the 10-Year Constant Maturity yield since 1962 along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) and inflation. The range has been astonishing. The stagflation that set in after the 1973 Oi...
  • Technically Speaking: Valuation Measures & Forwa...
    By on July 13, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    On the “Real Investment Hour” on Tuesday night, I addressed the issue of price versus fundamentals. In the short-term, a period of one-year or less, political, fundamental, and economic data has very little influence over the market. This is especially the case in a late-stage bull market adva...
  • The Breaking Point and Death Of Keynes
    By on July 11, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    You can almost hear the announcer for the movie trailer; “In a world stricken by financial crisis, a country plagued by spiraling deficits and cities on the verge of collapse – a war is being waged; gauntlet’s thrown down and at the heart of it all; two dead white guys battling over the fate o...

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