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US Economy Archives | Elliott Wave Analytics
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Technically Speaking | Major Markets Are All Flashing...By Syndicated Publisher on November 17, 2018 | No CommentsIn this past weekend’s newsletter, I touched on the outcome of the mid-term elections and why it would likely not be as optimistic as the mainstream media was portraying it to be. To wit: “It is likely little will get done as the desire to engage in conflict and positioning between parties wil...
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Will Fed Rate Hikes Choke Stock Market Rally?By Syndicated Publisher on November 6, 2018 | No CommentsInvesting is hard. You, like many others, probably watch financial TV networks, read analysis, listen to talk shows and talk to fellow investors, trying to understand what’s next. One popular stock market “indicator” is interest rates. Analysts parse every word from the Fed, hopin...
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Is The Long-Anticipated Crash Now Upon Us?By Syndicated Publisher on October 28, 2018 | No CommentsI admit: I’m a permabear. This is no surprise to those who know and have followed me over the years. But I’m publicly proclaiming my ‘bearishness’ because doing so might open up a needed and long overdue dialog. Here’s my fundamental position: Infinite growth on a fi...
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The Fed Will Ignite The Next ‘Financial Crisis&...By Syndicated Publisher on January 31, 2018 | No CommentsThere seems to be a very large consensus the markets have entered into a “permanently high plateau,” or an era in which price corrections in asset prices have been effectively eliminated through fiscal and monetary policy. Partnering with this fairytale like mindset is an overwhelming sense o...
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Records Were Made to Be Broken…By Syndicated Publisher on January 30, 2018 | No CommentsThey say records are made to be broken and, so far, the US economy is on track to do just that. The current economic expansion is now the third longest in US history going back to 1854. If it can survive through May 2018, it will be the second longest and, if able to survive to July 2019, it will of...
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Rick Wiles Issues An Extremely Ominous Warning: The A...By Syndicated Publisher on August 24, 2017 | No CommentsWhat you are about to read is going to absolutely shock you. Rick Wiles has done outstanding work over at TruNews for well over a decade, and now just days before the August 21st solar eclipse he has issued his most ominous warning ever. His warning is not directly related to the eclipse, b...
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Signs Of DistressBy Syndicated Publisher on August 19, 2017 | No CommentsThe world is edging closer to the final moments after which everything will be forever changed. Grand delusions, perpetuated over decades, will finally hit the limits of reality and collapse in on themselves. We’re over-budget and have eaten deeply into the principal balances of all of our main t...
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Really Bad Ideas – Part III: Government Debt Is...By Syndicated Publisher on August 16, 2017 | No CommentsThe failure of fiat currency and fractional reserve banking to produce a government-managed utopia is generating very few mea culpas, but lots of rationalizations. Strangest of all these rationalizations might be the notion that government debt is not really a liability, but an asset. Where personal...
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Plan For The WorstBy Syndicated Publisher on August 10, 2017 | No CommentsCurrently, things could not be better. Stocks are hitting all time highs. Confidence is at record levels, and investors are “all in.” But maybe it is just for those reasons that we should take a pause. Records are records for a reason. Every strongly trending bull market throughout history has...
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Technically Speaking: Visualizing 10-Reasons For Caut...By Syndicated Publisher on August 9, 2017 | No CommentsI know…I know… There seems to be absolutely nothing that can derail the current bull market. Geopolitical conflict – NOPE Political intrigue – NOPE Fed Reserve reducing liquidity to the markets – NOPE Lack of expected tax cuts, reform, and infrastructure spending – NOPE, NOPE, and NOPE....
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The Two Charts That Dictate the Future of the EconomyBy Syndicated Publisher on August 2, 2017 | No CommentsIf you study these charts closely, you can only conclude that the US economy is doomed to secular stagnation and never-ending recession. The stock market, bond yields and statistical measures of the economy can be gamed, manipulated and massaged by authorities, but the real economy cannot. This is e...
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Three Black SwansBy Syndicated Publisher on August 2, 2017 | No Comments“The world in which we live has an increasing number of feedback loops, causing events to be the cause of more events (say, people buy a book because other people bought it), thus generating snowballs and arbitrary and unpredictable planet-wide winner-take-all effects.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb...
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ECRI Weekly Leading Index: All Signs Point to a Cycli...By Syndicated Publisher on July 27, 2017 | No CommentsToday’s release of the publicly available data from ECRI puts its Weekly Leading Index (WLI) at 144.8, up from the previous week. Year-over-year the four-week moving average of the indicator is now at 4.99%, down from 5.12% last week. The WLI Growth indicator is now at 2.6, up from the previo...
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Fundamentally Speaking: Earnings At RiskBy Syndicated Publisher on July 27, 2017 | No CommentsAs we get into the midst of the Q2 earnings season, we can take a closer look at the results through the 1st quarter of the year. Despite the exuberance from the media over the “number of companies that beat estimates” during the most recent reported period, 12-month operating earnings per s...
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Preparing for the End GameBy Syndicated Publisher on July 27, 2017 | No CommentsA Potential Road Map for the End of the Current Bull Market & Economic Expansion History books refer to the last economic slowdown we experienced, triggered by the 2007-2008 financial crisis, as the Great Recession. Its impacts were so severe—the worst global recession since the Great Depress...
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Yellen, Employment & Policy ErrorsBy Syndicated Publisher on July 19, 2017 | No CommentsIn Janet Yellen’s semi-annual testimony on Capitol Hill yesterday, she made reference to the ongoing strength of employment as one of the reasons for continuing to “normalize” monetary policy by lifting interest rates and reducing the existing bond holdings of the Federal Reserve. To wit: ...