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Forex Archives | Page 5 of 15 | Elliott Wave Analytics

  • We’re All Hedge Funds Now
    By on March 26, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    As negative interest rates spread from Switzerland, Japan and Germany to the rest of the developed world, people with money to invest face some life-defining choices. Retirees who need to generate 6% to avoid dipping into principal can’t get there with bank CDs. Pension funds that have promised an...
  • Earnings And The Economy Slow As Dollar Surges
    By on March 25, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The strong dollar increases the cost of U.S. exports, cutting into export sales, and the currency translation cuts into the profits of U.S. corporations with international operations. Currency-risk management consulting firm FiReapps reports that the surging dollar cost North American corporations ...
  • The Long-Term Dollar Index
    By on March 22, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The words of wisdom often (mistakenly) attributed to Mark Twain – “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme” – come to mind when sizing up the possibilities for another financial crisis sooner-rather-than-later amid all the global hand-wringing about the rapidly rising U.S. dollar,...
  • The Euro-Dollar Riot!
    By on March 22, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    We open this commentary by trying to simplify a very complex trade.Think of yourself as the corporate treasurer of a midsized American company. You have your basic business activities in the United States, and you have several divisions in Europe. Over the years you have elected to avoid repatriatio...
  • How Low Can The Euro Go? (Or Is That The Wrong Questi...
    By on March 15, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The euro is tanking again, as the ECB starts buying bonds for its long-promised “whatever it takes” QE program. Today’s exchange rate move is dramatic enough to generate headlines like this, from Forbes: Euro Nears Parity With U.S. Dollar And the decline is accelerating: What we’re seeing h...
  • Trading the Parabolic Dollar
    By on March 14, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The mighty US dollar has been red-hot in March, rocketing higher on the incredible divergence of major central-bank policies.  While the Federal Reserve’s first rate-hike cycle in 9 years looms, the European Central Bank has started aggressively monetizing sovereign debt for the first time ever....
  • Aftershocks, Part 1: That Austrian Bank
    By on March 13, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Sometimes little things are the start of much bigger things. Probably the most famous historical example of this is the June 1914 assassination of an Austrian archduke who, it’s safe to say, 99% of the world had neither heard of nor cared about. But the aftershocks of the deed produced the biggest...
  • Apple iWatch and Some Crazy Gold Numbers
    By on March 10, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    As Apple starts selling its new smart watch there are some, well, crazy-sounding predictionscirculating about the amounts of gold the company might soon be buying. The math goes like this: Each gold version of the watch will contain around two ounces, and the company might sell 10 million of them a ...
  • Another Reason To Worry About The Stock Market!
    By on February 26, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The world is full of “carry trades” these days, and that’s a really bad thing. In general terms, a carry trade involves someone borrowing money cheaply in one currency or market and investing the proceeds in something else that offers a higher yield. The strategy is profitable as long as the c...
  • Extreme USD Sentiment Setting Up Biggest Investment O...
    By on February 25, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    One of the best investments over last year was the US dollar (USD) as it exploded more than 20% higher from its May 2014 lows and recently hit its highest levels since 2003. Question is, why the dollar rise and not fall as many had long predicted? Much of the dollar’s strength had to do with r...
  • This Is What It Means To Lose A Currency War
    By on February 1, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The term gets tossed around a lot, but the meaning and consequences of a “currency war” aren’t intuitively clear to most people. Especially confusing is the idea that you lose the war when your currency goes up. The suddenly very strong dollar, for instance, should, one would think, be a good...
  • This Is What Gold Does In A Currency Crisis – E...
    By on January 25, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Today the European Central Bank acknowledged that the currency it manages is being sucked into a deflationary vortex. It responded in the usual way with, in effect, a massive devaluation. Eurozone citizens have also responded predictably, by converting their unbacked, make-believe, soon-to-be-worth-...
  • Switzerland Wins As Its Central Bank Surrenders
    By on January 25, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    If anyone had any doubt how severely the global economy has been distorted by the actions of central bankers, the “surprise” announcement last week by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to no longer peg the Swiss franc to the euro should provide a moment of crystal clarity. The decision sent ...
  • Can You Just Surrender In A Currency War?
    By on January 21, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Switzerland, as everyone knows by now, has slipped out the back door of the drunken orgy that is the modern financial system. And the other revelers are wondering if it’s time to find their own clothes and start tiptoeing towards the exit. Because the Swiss have such a big “mind share” in the ...
  • Yen Strength Weighs on Stocks While Lifting Gold High...
    By on January 20, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Last month I penned an article titled, “Implications for the Stock Market and Gold with a Yen Rally” in which I laid out the case for the US dollar (USD) to weaken relative to the Yen in the coming month and what the implications would be for the stock market, volatility, and gold. A key excerpt...
  • What In The World Just Happened In Switzerland?
    By on January 16, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Central banks lie.  That is what they do.  Not too long ago, the Swiss National Bank promised that it would defend the euro/Swiss franc currency peg with the “utmost determination”.  But on Thursday, the central bank shocked the financial world by abruptly abandoning it.  More than three yea...

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