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April 2017 | Elliott Wave Analytics

  • Gold Upleg Momentum Building
    By on April 28, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Gold’s young upleg just enjoyed a major upside breakout, bolstering strong technicals and heralding a coming Golden Cross buy signal.  Investors have started aggressively buying gold again after record-high stock markets distracted them.  This gold upleg’s upside momentum is really building, p...
  • The Housing Bubble Is Back (And Bigger Than Ever Befo...
    By on April 26, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Last week I ran into a friend whom I’d been worrying about. He’s a real estate appraiser and his work had been drying up as interest rates rose and homeowners stopped refinancing their mortgages. But now he’s back to being happily swamped because instead of refinancing, everyone is buying — ...
  • Gold-Stock-Bull Upside Targets
    By on April 26, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The get-no-respect gold-stock sector is in a strong young bull market.  Past gold-stock bulls have grown to utterly-massive proportions before giving up their ghosts, greatly multiplying the wealth of contrarian investors and speculators.  Today’s gold-stock bull is very likely to grow vastly la...
  • Technically Speaking: Oversold Bounce Or Return Of Th...
    By on April 25, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    In this past weekend’s missive, “Markets Go On Alert,” I stated that due to the oversold condition of the market on a very short-term basis, a rally was due this week. To wit: “IMPORTANT: By the time weekly signals are issued on an intermediate-term basis, the market is generally oversold, ...
  • Gold-Stock Breakouts Near
    By on April 19, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The gold-mining stocks’ usual volatility has proven outsized so far this year, spooking investors.  A fast initial surge in a new upleg was soon fully reversed by a sharp major correction, which spawned much bearish sentiment.  That combined with the great distraction from the Trumphoria stock-m...
  • Technically Speaking: Leverage Hits An All-Time High!
    By on April 17, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    As the first quarter of 2017 closes, April begins the last leg of the markets “seasonally strong” period of the year, which is where the idea of “Sell In May And Go Away” comes from. And, of course, every year, there is always a litany of articles written about why it is such a bad idea, yo...
  • Soaring Global Debt Sets Stage For Unprecedented Priv...
    By on April 17, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The UK’s Telegraph just published an analysis of global debt that pretty much sums up the coming crisis. Here’s an excerpt with a couple of the more hair-raising charts: Global debt explodes at ‘eye-watering’ pace to hit £170 trillion Global debt has climbed at an “eye-watering” pace o...
  • Market Remains Overvalued
    By on April 12, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators we update on a monthly basis. The Crestmont Research P/E Ratio (more) The cyclical P/E ratio using the trailing 10-year earnings as the divisor (more) The Q Ratio, which is the total price of the market divided by its replacement cost (more...
  • Gold in Fed-Rate-Hike Cycles 2
    By on April 11, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Gold suffered heavy selling in early March leading into the Fed’s latest rate hike.  Speculators frantically dumped gold futures ahead of the Fed’s meeting as implied rate-hike odds soared.  This is nothing new.  This key group of traders has long feared Fed-rate-hike cycles, convinced they a...
  • Maybe The Recovery Wasn’t Real After All
    By on April 10, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    For a while there it looked like the US and its main trading partners had finally achieved escape velocity. Growth was up, inflation was poking through the Fed’s 2% target, and most measures of consumer sentiment were bordering on euphoric. Then it all started to evaporate. Lackluster manufacturin...

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