Logo Background RSS

Advertisement

December 2015 | Elliott Wave Analytics

  • Technically Speaking: 2016 Outlook
    By on December 30, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    In the last “Technical Update” I discussed the end of the mutual fund redemption period and the acceleration of the downtrend that began in early December. (Chart updated through yesterday’s close.) “After a second attempt at the downtrend resistance, the market has built an accelerated dow...
  • Stocks in Rate-Hike Cycles
    By on December 27, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The stock-market outlook in 2016 is riddled with great uncertainty following the Fed ending its 7-year-old zero-interest-rate policy.  With the first rate-hike cycle in nearly a decade just getting underway, traders are anxiously wondering how it will impact the stock markets.  While raising rates...
  • Post-ZIRP Stock/Gold Era
    By on December 20, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The Federal Reserve finally mustered the courage to end its radical zero-interest-rate-policy experiment this week.  Its quarter-point rate hike announced on the seventh anniversary of ZIRP kicks off the long road to normalization.  This leaves the stock markets and gold in unprecedented uncharted...
  • Technically Speaking: 5 Signs Of A Naughty Market!
    By on December 14, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    It is hard to believe that Christmas is just TWO Friday’s away as the year seems to have slipped by in blur. This brings two primary issues into focus. The first is that I have not done any shopping as of yet. The second is that despite the hopes of a stronger economy and earnings environment at t...
  • Gold Thrives in Rate-Hike Cycles!
    By on December 12, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Gold’s deep new secular lows of recent weeks were fueled by American futures speculators’ overpowering fear of Fed rate hikes.  They believe zero-yielding gold is doomed in a higher-rate world, so they dumped gold futures at astounding record rates.  The problem is history proves just the oppo...
  • Gold’s Artificial Lows 2
    By on December 5, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Gold’s latest slide to new secular lows has amplified the hyper-bearish sentiment long plaguing it.  More than ever, traders are universally convinced gold is doomed to drift lower indefinitely.  But these extreme gold lows are not fundamentally righteous, they resulted from extreme record gold-...
  • Technically Speaking: The Goldilocks Warning
    By on December 3, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    As we enter the final month of the year, stocks (as measured by the S&P 500) have made little progress for the year. Unfortunately, many hedge and mutual funds are lagging well behind on a year-to-date basis. As I stated recently: “Historical tendencies suggest a bias to the upside. This i...
  • Market Cap to GDP: A Fractional Decline in the Buffet...
    By on December 2, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Market Cap to GDP is a long-term valuation indicator that has become popular in recent years, thanks to Warren Buffett. Back in 2001 he remarked in a Fortune Magazine interview that “it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.” The four valuatio...

Advertisement