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The Real Fed Funds Rates Since 1971

  • Written by Syndicated Publisher No Comments Comments
    April 29, 2015

    As Federal Reserve officials (i.e., the most powerful group of unelected policy makers in the world) gather to discuss if and when they should raise short-term interest rates, it’s worth reviewing how we got here from the perspective of real interest rates.

    Since this chart hadn’t been updated since Ms. Yellen took over at the Fed and the official measure of inflation reached its lowest level since the 1950s (save for a few months in 2009 during the financal crisis),  a slight uptick in real rates was expected.

    The 0.11 percent Fed funds rate and current annual inflation of -0.1 percent have combined to push real interest rates back into positive territory for the first time in five years.

    Paraphrasing Bill Murray in Caddyshack, “So, we got that going for us, which is nice”.

    Images: via Flickr (licence attribution)

    About The Author

    As you may have already deduced, this is not your typical financial blog, accompanied by some run-of-the-mill investment newsletter, and I’m not your typical financial writer.

    In fact, I spent my entire working career as an engineer before retiring back in 2007 at the tender young age of 46. Two years prior to that in 2005 I started writing a blog – The Mess That Greenspan Made – mostly just to poke fun at the housing bubble and the policy makers who had led us down that path.

    Details about the investment newsletter and information about the performance of the associated “model portfolio” can be found here and if there are any questions that I can help answer, just send mail to tim@iaconoresearch.com.

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