The bad news is that commodities, and related commodity stocks from energy to miners, continue to be hammered due to the retraction of the liquidity pump by the Fed.  The decline in liquidity, the resurging crisis in Europe and general concerns about the U.S. economy is leading to commodities being...

The following is a list of stocks that have triggered new intermediate term bearish trend signals (via our proprietary trend signal analytics model). Typically the duration of the trend following a signal is several months to a year or more. Of the stocks listed below, those that are accompanied by ...

The $OEXA200R (the percentage of S&P 100 stocks above their 200 DMA) is a technical indicator available on StockCharts.com that can be used to forecast conservative entry and exit points for the stock market. The OEXA is used to find the “sweet spot” time period in the market when yo...

China bulls are in for a multi-year shock because rebalancing from an economy overly dependent on exports is going to be far more painful, and last much longer than most think. Data is coming in much weaker than expected, but I propose this is only the very beginning. The New York Times reports D...

Retail sales slowed sharply in April rising only 0.1 percent, following a 0.7 percent increase in March (originally up 0.8 percent).  No real surprise here but it is interesting to see retailers beginning to show signs of strain in recent earnings’ reports. The concern continues to be the pr...

When the first estimate of Q1 GDP was released we wrote: “Given the impact from higher oil and gas prices on the economy, which is a real and pervasive tax on the consumer as discussed recently, it is highly likely that we will see downward revisions to Q1 GDP in the next two months.”...

A common mistake that people make when trying to design something completely foolproof is to underestimate the ingenuity of complete fools. – Douglas Adams, The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy For quite some time in this letter I have been making the case that for the eurozone to survi...

The US employment numbers this month were disappointing. But disappointing does not begin to describe the situation I read about today in Europe. I have just finished up with my conference in Carlsbad, California and am getting back to the room late. I have to get up in a few hours (4 AM is rather o...

Sex and Money are probably two of the most powerful words in the English language.  First, those two words got you to look at this article.  They also sell products, books and services from“How To Have Better Sex” to “How To Make More Money” — ostensibly so you can ...

The essence of debt serfdom is debt rises to compensate for stagnant wages. I often speak of debt serfdom; here it is, captured in a single chart. The basic dynamics are all here, if you read between the lines: 1. Financialization of the U.S. and global economies diverts income to capital and those...

Every day the financial markets get more chaotic—a fact that couldn’t be made any more clear than with a recent revelation given by ex-physicist and author, Nick Dunbar, in describing a new level of complexity facing banks and derivatives. Ironically, Thurdsay night’semergency confere...

The S&P 500 plunged at the open and hit its intraday low near the end of the first hour of trading, off 1.24%. There were no economic indicators to distract the markets from the ongoing Greek drama and JPMorgan’s travesty of professional trading. After a feeble attempt at recovery, the mar...

We remain on a sell signal for gold. Our signal was primarily due to deterioration of gold’s technicals, reversals of our momentum indicators (not shown), investor sentiment for gold at the time, the pattern of lower highs and lower lows, and so forth. But as usual, the fundamentals have caught u...

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) growth indicator of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) is now at 0.1 as reported in today’s public release of the data through May 4. This is essentially unchanged from last week. However, the underlying WLI again rose fractionally from an adjusted 124....

The S&P 500 has sold off 5.58% from its April 2nd high of 1422 to its low on May 9th of 1343 and conditions are in place for the market to put in an intermediate low. Whether the market rallies from present levels or not will tell us a lot about the market’s current strength. Failure to rall...

The coming week is one of this year’s extreme high energy zones in terms of astrological impacts. The chances of a significant trend change nearby are much – MUCH – higher than normal. That’s not a guarantee, but it is a statistical imperative we shouldn’t ignore out-...