Logo Background RSS


Update: The Great Escape – Part II

  • Written by Syndicated Publisher 48 Comments48 Comments Comments
    October 19, 2011

    We witnessed a Great Escape from equities in 2008 when the dollar broke out and the CRX broke down. We have a near clone situation on our hands right now in the Dollar and CRX. I saw the first inklings of a second Great Escape this past spring, which occasioned my May 5th commentary (with a hat tip to Steve McQueen). And I shared an update in Great Escape II on September 9th.

    If Great Escape 2 is to take place and begin accelerating, this is where it could all start.

    Frankly, to put it bluntly, this chart gives me the creeps because of the striking similarity between GE1 and the pattern that appears to be taking shape. As always, time will tell. But forewarned is forearmed.

    (c) Kimble Charting Solutions

    Images; Flickr (licence attribution)

    About The Author

    My original dshort.com website was launched in February 2005 using a domain name based on my real name, Doug Short. I’m a formerly retired first wave boomer with a Ph.D. in English from Duke. Now my website has been acquired byAdvisor Perspectives, where I have been appointed the Vice President of Research.

    My first career was a faculty position at North Carolina State University, where I achieved the rank of Full Professor in 1983. During the early ’80s I got hooked on academic uses of microcomputers for research and instruction. In 1983, I co-directed the Sixth International Conference on Computers and the Humanities. An IBM executive who attended the conference made me a job offer I couldn’t refuse.

    Thus began my new career as a Higher Education Consultant for IBM — an ambassador for Information Technology to major universities around the country. After 12 years with Big Blue, I grew tired of the constant travel and left for a series of IT management positions in the Research Triangle area of North Carolina. I concluded my IT career managing the group responsible for email and research databases at GlaxoSmithKline until my retirement in 2006.

    Contrary to what many visitors assume based on my last name, I’m not a bearish short seller. It’s true that some of my content has been a bit pessimistic in recent years. But I believe this is a result of economic realities and not a personal bias. For the record, my efforts to educate others about bear markets date from November 2007, as this Motley Fool article attests.