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Volatility Skew Indicates Dead-Cat Bounce.

  • Written by Syndicated Publisher 469 Comments469 Comments Comments
    August 11, 2011

    On a day to day basis the volatility skew is not a reliable signal for the direction of equities. What is reliable though is the trend and the charts below indicate that equities have further to fall within this current downtrend.

    Skew VS SPX

    The following chart is the skew (with no reference to the vix) versus the SPX. Notice the downtrending channel the skew is in.

    Skew Vix Divergence VS SPX

    A rather interesting similarity has formed with the current trend versus that of summer 2008 preceding the September / October slide.

    Shared Under Licence From

    Volatility Skew Indicates Further Selling Pressure- Macro Story.

    Images: Flickr (licence)


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