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April 2011 | Elliott Wave Analytics

  • G4 Weekly Market Wrap, 29th April 2011!
    By on April 30, 2011 | 48 Comments48 Comments  Comments
    In last week’s Market Wrap I suggested the following: “So, in spite of our various methodologies coming up with contradictory outcomes, I am leaning towards the US and Australian markets moving up between now and the 3rd May into some possible negative headwinds.” When various methodologies pr...
  • How To Use Fibonacci Ratios in the Real World
    By on April 28, 2011 | 3 Comments3 Comments  Comments
    What tools help you with the difficult task of identifying the market trend, riding it, and getting out before it reverses? Consider Fibonacci ratios: Mathematical proportions by which moves on a market chart relate to each other. Fibonacci mathematics is an integral part of Elliott wave analysis; F...
  • Understanding the Fed
    By on April 26, 2011 | 313 Comments313 Comments  Comments
    What exactly is the function of the Fed? If it’s to help the U.S. economy grow steadily, then how come in 2007-2009 we had the biggest stock market crash in decades followed by “the Great Recession” and a worldwide financial crisis? For answers, let’s turn to someone who has ...
  • Stop Losses: Help or Hindrance? [Part 2 of 3]
    By on April 26, 2011 | No Comments  Comments
    This article is part 2 of a 3 part-series on stops. In this article, I continue testing and benchmarking the original EMA crossover strategy by adding in percentage-based and ATR-based trailing stops. By Dr. Bruce Vanstone BackgroundBruce Vanstone is Assistant Professor at Bond University in Aust...
  • G4 Weekly Market Wrap – Bumper Easter Edition!
    By on April 24, 2011 | No Comments  Comments
    Long term readers of my Market Wrap would be aware that I occasionally bring out my 3 favourite Bear Market charts in order to remind readers that they need to look at the larger cycle patterns in play in order to keep individual long term trends in some sort of perspective. I usually do this when ...
  • Does Deflation Remain a Threat?
    By on April 20, 2011 | 37 Comments37 Comments  Comments
    “Every excess causes a defect; every defect an excess. Every sweet hath its sour…The waves of the sea do not more speedily seek a level from their loftiest tossing, than the varieties of condition tend to equalize themselves.” This quote comes from Ralph Waldo Emerson’s essay...
  • G4 Weekly Market Wrap, 15th April 2011
    By on April 19, 2011 | 44 Comments44 Comments  Comments
    In last week’s Market Wrap I said “Our lunar studies suggest that historically, the coming lunar phase is amongst the most negative so next week could very well show the weakness that we have been expecting.” The subsequent price action in both markets proved this to be correct. From a lunar p...
  • No Such Thing As A Free Lunch
    By on April 16, 2011 | 389 Comments389 Comments  Comments
    In my last commentary on the economy, I discussed why austerity drives to cut government spending have to be balanced with increased infrastructure investment — in order to avoid a double-dip similar to 1937. This week I would like to re-visit the root causes of banking crises and discuss how we ...
  • The Fed’s Path Of Destruction
    By on April 14, 2011 | 45 Comments45 Comments  Comments
    David Stockman concludes his two part series on Crony Capitalism (part one here) with this scathing take down of the Federal Reserve. Hopefully this is nothing new to anyone at this point… First posted in Marketwatch. The destructive result of the Federal Reserve’s earlier housing and consu...
  • New Free Copy Of The Independent Investor eBook
    By on April 14, 2011 | 419 Comments419 Comments  Comments
    Free Report: Buying Opportunity? Find Out What Extreme Market Sentiment Levels Mean for Your Investments. Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just released a new report on the historical importance of extreme market sentiment levels. You can learn more about it below, or follow this l...
  • Stop Losses – Help or Hindrance?
    By on April 10, 2011 | No Comments  Comments
    Stop Losses – Help or Hindrance? [Part 1 in a series of 3 articles] BackgroundBruce Vanstone is Assistant Professor at Bond University in Australia. He completed his PhD in Computational Finance in 2006 and is a regular presenter and publisher of academic work on stockmarket trading system...
  • G4 Weekly Market Wrap, 8th April 2011
    By on April 10, 2011 | 519 Comments519 Comments  Comments
    In last week’s Market Wrap I provided a chart for the S&P500 and XJO showing the 3 standard deviation boundaries around the current price action. At the time the price action for the XJO was approaching the 3rd standard deviation and with the expectation that the market would open higher I tho...
  • Strong Earnings Mean a Strong Stock Market — Ri...
    By on April 2, 2011 | 34 Comments34 Comments  Comments
    Earnings season is upon us, so it’s a good time to delve into how earnings affect stock prices. Here’s an excerpt from Bob Prechter’s February 2010Elliott Wave Theorist. It considers the conventional belief in a cause/effect relationship between earnings and stock prices. EWI’...
  • G4 Weekly Market Wrap, 1st April 2011
    By on April 2, 2011 | 267 Comments267 Comments  Comments
    In last weekend’s Market Wrap I suggested that there was a high likelihood of a rally into the 5th April based on Conti and my other cycles analysis methodologies. I must admit that whilst that was the expectation I personally pulled out of the market late last week in order to lock in ‘safe pr...
  • Everything You Ever Wanted to Know About the Elliott ...
    By on April 1, 2011 | 70 Comments70 Comments  Comments
    Okay. There can be only two reasons why you are reading this article right now: You thought “Elliott wave” was a surfing term for a wicked breaker, dude. — OR — You’re tired of fundamental analysis of financial markets leaving you behind the trend-moving curve, AND y...

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