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Just like the hit series “House Of Cards,” Wall Street earnings season has become rife with manipulation, deceit and obfuscation that could rival ...

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  • The Earnings Season: ‘House Of Cards’
    By on April 23, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Just like the hit series “House Of Cards,” Wall Street earnings season has become rife with manipulation, deceit and obfuscation that could rival the dark corners of Washington, D.C. From time to time I do an analysis of the previous quarters earnings for the S&P 500 in order to re...
  • Japan Trade Deficit Largest In History
    By on April 23, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Those who think a collapsing currency is a sure-fire way to increase exports need to rethink their beliefs. Despite a falling Yen, Japan Posts Largest-Ever Trade Deficit.  The gap between the value of Japan’s exports and that of its imports grew by more than two-thirds in the 12 months through M...
  • Chicago Fed: Economic Growth Moderated In March
    By on April 23, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Index shows economic growth moderated in March: This is the headline for the release of the Chicago Fed’s National Activity Index, and here are the opening paragraphs from the report:   Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) decre...
  • Why Technology Is Deflationary
    By on April 23, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Technology, like Nature itself, has no emotional stake in what is creatively destroyed. We all know the Federal Reserve is terrified of deflation, because they keep telling us that deflation is the equivalent of death and inflation is the equivalent of oxygen. What they fail to mention is that infl...
  • Best Stock Market Indicator Ever: Weekly Update
    By on April 22, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    The $OEXA200R Monthly (the percentage of S&P 100 stocks above their 200 DMA) is a technical indicator available on StockCharts.com used to find the “sweet spot” time period in the market when you have the best chance of making money. The weekly charts below are current through the ...
  • More On Tapering vs Tightening?
    By on April 22, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Tapering or Tightening? The agenda for the April 15-16, 2014, research conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta has been released (http://www.frbatlanta.org/news/conferences/14fmc_agenda.cfm). Readers who are seriously concerned about monetary policy; the questions surrounding QE; an...
  • A New Look At The SPX Total Return Roller Coaster
    By on April 22, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    I received a recent email requesting an update to my Total Return Roller Coaster series. I’ve now updated the charts below based on monthly data through the March close. Here’s an interesting set of charts that will especially resonate with those of us who follow economic and market cyc...
  • 5 Things To Ponder: Income Inequality
    By on April 21, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Since Easter is a time of family, compassion, forgiveness and resurrection, I thought this would be a good weekend to think about the income inequality/wealth gap which will be part of the mid-term election debate. There are many questions that must be answered from not only “how” to solve the...
  • Astro-Technical Market Review: Next Few Days Could Ki...
    By on April 21, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    The next few days could kill the 5-year Bull run which has lifted some major stock indices to all-time highs. It is the week in which the extreme energy of a Cardinal Grand Cross involving Mars, Jupiter, Uranus and Pluto hits its exact orb with all four planets at 13 degrees … of Aries, Cancer...
  • Why US Gas Will Never Replace Russian Gas For Europe
    By on April 21, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    Recent entreaties by various US politicians to help wean Europe off of Russian gas are simply preposterous.  The numbers don’t add up, and they never will. Let’s begin with the facts: 16% of natural gas consumed in Europe flows through Ukraine Mar 14, 2014 Europe, including all EU me...
  • SPX Topping Valuations 3
    By on April 21, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    The lofty stock markets are starting to wobble, with selloffs’ frequency and sharpness increasing.  The dominant reason the Fed’s stock levitation is running out of steam is severe overvaluation.  Stocks are just far too expensive today compared to historic precedent, a dangerous state seen wh...
  • Short-Term Market Patterns Continue
    By on April 21, 2014 | No Comments  Comments
    The market has been following its short-term pattern tendencies to an unusually precise degree. The ‘monthly strength period’ and end-of-quarter ‘window dressing’ came and went on schedule, and produced their typical rally. Then the market responded to the monthly jobs report in its typical...

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